Researchers from Schwab and Hashdex have observed that recent AI‑focused investment trends have diverted capital from digital assets, causing Bitcoin to fall out of step with equities that are hitting all‑time highs. Despite this divergence, Bitcoin continues to exhibit the classic post‑halving recovery trajectory that has historically driven price gains over the subsequent 12‑18 months.
The analysts point out that the current disconnect is likely a short‑term market anomaly rather than a structural shift. As AI‑related funds rotate out of crypto and seek broader exposure, the inflow of capital could revive Bitcoin’s correlation with risk‑on assets, especially if broader market sentiment remains bullish.
Historical data shows that after each halving event, Bitcoin typically experiences a multi‑year uptrend, supported by reduced supply and heightened demand. The present pattern aligns with that precedent, suggesting that the cryptocurrency may resume its upward path once the AI‑induced capital reallocation stabilizes.
Investors are advised to monitor fund flow reports and macro‑economic indicators for signs of capital returning to digital assets. While the current environment reflects heightened uncertainty, the underlying halving dynamics remain a key driver for Bitcoin’s longer‑term price outlook.
Overall, the research underscores that Bitcoin’s lag behind record‑high stocks is expected to be temporary, with the potential for renewed alignment as AI‑centric capital cycles evolve.